| HUFFPOLLSTER: Record Number Of Political Independents Doesn't Mean Less Partisanship Posted: 08 Jan 2015 05:35 AM PST HUFFPOLLSTER Record Number Of Political Independents Doesn't Mean Less Partisanship joebelanger via Getty Images By Mark Blumenthal & Ariel Edwards-Levy Independent party identification continues to rise, but that doesn't mean less partisan voting. Views of Muslims are more favorable in France than other nations. And Pew Research ups its quota for cell phones to nearly two thirds of its poll samples. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, January 8, 2015. NUMBER OF POLITICAL INDEPENDENTS CONTINUES TO CLIMB - Jeffrey M. Jones: "An average 43% of Americans identified politically as independents in 2014, establishing a new high in Gallup telephone poll trends back to 1988. In terms of national identification with the two major parties, Democrats continued to hold a modest edge over Republicans, 30% to 26%....Since 2008, the percentage of political independents -- those who identify as such before their leanings to the two major parties are taken into account -- has steadily climbed from 35% to the current 43%, exceeding 40% each of the last four years. Prior to 2011, the high in independent identification was 39% in 1995 and 1999." [Gallup]  But how independent are they, really? - Jones: "Although independents claim no outright allegiance to either major party, it is well-known that they are not necessarily neutral when it comes to politics. When pressed, most independents will say they lean to one of the two major parties. For example, last year an average of 17% of Americans who initially identified as independents subsequently said they "leaned" Republican, 15% were independents who leaned Democratic, with the remaining 11% not expressing a leaning to either party." HuffPollster, last year: "The difference between partisan-leaning independents and their brethren among the party faithful tends to blur at the ballot box. In 2008, 90 percent of Democratic leaners went to now-President Barack Obama, and about 80 percent of Republican leaners to Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), according to exit polls. 'Most independents are closet partisans,' political scientist John Sides wrote in 2010, pointing to data that shows the opinions of independent leaners closely track those of their preferred party. 'As far as their views of Obama are concerned, it doesn’t really matter whether you say you’re a Democrat or an independent who leans Democrat, and the same is true on the other side of the aisle.' Why are Americans, even those with partisan views, seemingly more reluctant to affiliate themselves with a political party? Political scientists cite reasons ranging from wanting to view oneself as independent-minded to simply hoping to avoid being hassled by campaign operatives...rising disaffection with both parties, and a general mistrust of the federal government." [HuffPost] FAVORABLE VIEWS OF MUSLIMS HIGHER IN FRANCE - Robin Wright: "Two polls conducted well before gunmen attacked the Paris offices of the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo say a lot about the state of relations between France and its Muslim population, the largest in Europe. An ICM Research poll last year found that 16% of the French had a 'favorable' view of Islamic State. More than 27% of those ages 18 to 24 said they viewed the extremist movement favorably, while 22% of 25-to--34-year-olds reported a favorable view. It was the highest favorable rate among three major European powerhouses. In contrast, only 2% of Germans and 7% of Britons reported a favorable view of the extremist movement....[I]n another poll last year, France also had the least critical view of Muslims among seven major European countries surveyed. The Pew Research Center survey of Global Attitudes found that 72% of the French had a favorable view of Muslims. Among Italians, who were the most critical, only 28% had a favorable view." [WSJ]  PEW RESEARCH UPS CELL PHONE SAMPLES TO 65 PERCENT - Scott Keeter and Kyley Mcgeeney: "The number of Americans who rely only on a cellphone for their telephone service continues to grow....To keep pace with this rapid trend, the Pew Research Center will increase the percentage of respondents interviewed on cellphones in its typical national telephone surveys to 65%; 35% of interviews will be conducted by landline. Last year, we increased the ratio to 60% cellphone, with 40% conducted on landline. Back in 2008, when we first started routinely including cellphones in our phone surveys, just one-fourth (25%) of all interviews were done by cellphone.... Although cellphone-only households are very common today, there are sizeable demographic differences between people living in cell-only households and those with landlines. For example, young adults, Hispanics, renters and the poor (as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau’s poverty thresholds) are all far more likely to be cell-only.[I]t remains more expensive and takes more time to call cellphones. Cellphone interviews cost roughly 50% more than landline interviews. Federal law prohibits the use of automatic dialing devices to call cellphones. Interviewers must manually dial cellphones, which takes more time than having the number automatically dialed. [Pew]  THURSDAY'S 'OUTLIERS' - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data: -The health uninsured rate drops again, to 12.9 percent by the end of 2014. [Gallup] -42 percent of Americans still think weapons of mass destruction were found in Iraq. [FDU] -The preferences of voters and non-voters are becoming increasingly divergent, particularly on class-based issues. [Politico] -Aaron Blake looks at past polling on the controversy over cartoons depicting Muhammad. [Wash Post] -Mike Huckabee's exploratory moves signal the start of campaign 2016, says Harry Enten. [538] -Joel Benenson (D) is working with Hillary Clinton as she makes a final decision about running for president. [Politico] -Jon Bernstein argues Obama's higher approval ratings are good for the political system. [Bloomberg] -Hans Noel remembers Phil Converse and his seminal 1964 article, "The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics." [Mischiefs of Faction] Read the whole story | 770 Broadway, New York, NY 10003 | | | | Jobless Claims in U.S. Drop as Employers Retain Seasonal Workers Posted: 08 Jan 2015 05:34 AM PST | | Please add alerts@email.bloomberg.com to your address book. | | | | | BREAKING NEWS | Sponsored by |  | | | | | | | ADVERTISEMENT |  | | | |  | | EN DIRECT. Charlie Hebdo: le Raid et le GIGN déployés près de Villers-Cotterêts Posted: 08 Jan 2015 05:19 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Traque après l'attentat Posted: 08 Jan 2015 04:58 AM PST  | | Si vous ne souhaitez plus recevoir d'emails de la part du Parisien.fr, vous pouvez vous désabonner. |  |   | | Thursday's Morning Email: Manhunt Continues for Brothers Suspected in Charlie Hebdo Shooting Posted: 08 Jan 2015 04:53 AM PST Thursday January 8th, 2015 TOP STORIES TWO SUSPECTS AT LARGE IN CHARLIE HEBDO ATTACK "French police pressed a massive hunt for two brothers suspected in the murderous attack on offices of the French satirical publication Charlie Hebdo after a teenager surrendered early Thursday. Hamyd Mourad, 18, turned himself in to police after authorities identified the three men wanted in connection with the attack Wednesday that killed 10 journalists and two police officers." Take a look at a map and timeline of the terror attack, which came after months of hightened terror alerts. Meet four of the cartoonists killed in the attack. And here are the cartoons the terrorists killed over. [ HuffPost] CARTOONISTS RESPOND TO ATTACK View some of the work cartoonists around the world drew in response to the Charlie Hebdo attack, as well as newspaper front pages. [ USA Today] FBI DIRECTOR SAYS 'SLOPPY' SONY HACKING LED TO NORTH KOREA "In nearly every case, [the Sony hackers known as the Guardians of Peace] used proxy servers to disguise where they were coming from in sending these emails and posting these statements. But several times they got sloppy," FBI Director James Comey said. "Several times, either because they forgot or because of a technical problem, they connected directly and we could see that the IPs they were using…were exclusively used by the North Koreans." [ Wired] THE MIRACLE ANTIBIOTIC "With bacteria evolving to resist antibiotics faster than scientists can concoct new drugs, the fight against resistant infections in hospitals and food supplies is a tough battle to win. But a newly discovered antibiotic may prove irresistible to bacteria." [ WaPo] GERMAN GOVERNMENT WEBSITES STILL DOWN IN SECOND DAY OF CYBER ATTACK A pro-Russian group has taken credit for the attack. [ Businessweek] FBI WEIGHS DOMESTIC TERRORISM TIES IN EXPLOSION OUTSIDE OF COLORADO NAACP "The FBI says it is investigating the possibility that an explosion on Tuesday outside of the Colorado Springs, Colorado, chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People may have been an act of domestic terrorism … A homemade explosive was detonated Tuesday morning against an exterior wall of a building that houses the NAACP Colorado Springs chapter as well as Mr. G's Hair Design Studios, a local barbershop. There were no deaths or injuries from the explosion and only minimal surface damage was done to the wall where the explosion occurred..." [ HuffPost] BEIJING BANS UBER The car-hailing service also faces ongoing legal challenges in Paris, Amsterdam and Bangkok, and has been banned in New Delhi. [ Financial Times] MEASLES OUTBREAK LINKED TO DISNEY PARKS Not a happy ending for those parents. [ AP] INDONESIA STOPS CHEAP FLIGHTS OVER SAFETY CONCERNS "Indonesia's transport ministry has cracked down on the sale of cheap tickets for domestic flights to ensure airlines do not cut corners on safety, authorities said on Thursday, just over a week after an AirAsia flight crashed into the Java Sea." [ Reuters] WHAT'S BREWING VIOLA DAVIS, MELISSA MCCARTHY RULE PEOPLE'S CHOICE AWARDS Forget about the winners; here are the best dressed from last night. [ USA Today] CHARLIZE THERON DEMANDED SHE GET PAID WHAT HER MALE CO-STAR WAS PAID And she got it in the upcoming "The Huntsman." [ Page Six] TWITTER'S UNSPOKEN RULES "Twitter has a relatively short and specific official code of conduct (called, officially, The Twitter Rules) that forbids obvious transgressions, like spamming and posting threats. But if you spend enough time on Twitter, you soon learn that there's a larger and stickier web of constantly evolving Twitter ethics. For example: In some corners of Twitter, it's considered a great offense (for reasons that elude me) to retweet someone if you don't also follow them." [ Vulture] IMPROVE YOUR HEALTH IN UNDER 60 SECONDS Yes, that is a minute. [ HuffPost] WHEN A RUSSIAN SOLDIER DISAPPEARS IN UKRAINE "For Ukrainians, who wanted the war to be over, Petr represented a truth about Russian involvement that might force action they didn't want to take. [Lawyer Sergii] Koziakov said there were 'a hundred possibilities' as to Petr's fate: 'He could have been released and has stayed somewhere in eastern Ukraine because he knows a criminal case awaits him back home, or he could have been returned to the Russians and is being held someplace. Or even worse, he simply was a bother to them, and so they got rid of him.'" [ NYT] ON THE BLOG WHY SATIRE MATTERS "This is because, in part, the use of printed (and now digital) satire is an old and honorable response to the excesses of government and religion. When the people have no other voice, when the main media outlets are controlled by the state (or too fearful to challenge the state), satire flourishes. One of the few ways the citizen can hold the rich and powerful accountable is to employ humor and satire." [ HuffPost] BEFORE YOU GO ~ When Netflix's new shows premiere. ~ "Fifty Shades of Grey" squeaks away with a R-rating. ~ Gwyneth Paltrow sans makeup gives us all hope. ~ Giada De Laurentiis denied affair rumors with Matt Lauer and Bobby Flay. ~ An "Arrested Development" return may be sooner than you think. ~ Jennifer Love Hewitt and her husband Brian Hallisay are is expecting their second child. ~ The top Wikipedia page for every day of 2014. ~ Blue Ivy turned three and all her parents got her was a carved ice sculpture. Follow HuffPost on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and Pinterest Get Huffington Post on the Go  | | Charlie Hebdo en kiosque mercredi, le journal sera tiré à un million d'exemplaires Posted: 08 Jan 2015 04:52 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Suivre en direct et tout comprendre de l'attentat contre "Charlie Hebdo" Posted: 08 Jan 2015 04:44 AM PST Suivre en direct et tout comprendre de l'attentat contre "Charlie Hebdo" Si vous ne pouvez pas lire ce message, cliquez ici | | | A découvrir | France Télévisions. Siège social: 7, Esplanade Henri de France 75015 Paris. Identifié au registre du commerce de Paris sous le n°432 766 947
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|   | | La 13h Posted: 08 Jan 2015 03:21 AM PST | | A la Une : Philippe Geluck : "Ça va être difficile pour Charlie Hebdo de continuer à vivre" | Qui est Saïda Jawad, qui va adapter le livre de Valérie Trierweiler au cinéma ? | Michel Sardou porte plainte contre l'auteur d'une fausse lettre "xénophobe" Posted: 08 Jan 2015 03:05 AM PST | | Global Tech: Weighed Down by Wearables, Best Smart-Home Gadgets, More Hacker Attacks Posted: 08 Jan 2015 03:03 AM PST | | Please add Global_tech_today@email.bloomberg.com to your address book. | | | | | | | | | My CES Experiment: Living With Three Smartwatches at Once By Ian King At the Consumer Electronics Show, it seems everyone has a smartwatch. That includes me, after my editors challenged me to wear as many of the gadgets as possible for the ultimate utility test. That's why I've got three of the gizmos on at the same time: LG Electronics's LG G Watch R, Motorola's Moto 360 and Burg's Burg 12. The devices, two of which are based on Google's Android Wear operating system, are just a few of the review models being provided by companies at CES this week. Electronics makers are jockeying to get their wares out before Apple debuts its Apple Watch this year and potentially spoils the party. Based on my experiment, I can see why not many people have smartwatches. | |
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| | | BEST OF BWEST | | CES 2015: The Best Smart-Home Products Building a smart-home ecosystem needs to be about solving real problems and not just filling a house with toys. Bloomberg's Stephen Pulvirent rounds up the smart-home products you actually should buy. Watch the video >> | |
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| | | | | | INSIDE U.S. TECH | | Facebook Embraces Video The amount of video on Facebook's news feed more than tripled last year, as many users and advertisers discovered the option for the first time. How much bigger video will get on the social network depends largely on Fidji Simo. Read the full story >> |
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| | |  | | Attentat contre Charlie Hebdo: les deux suspects auraient été localisés dans l'Aisne ce matin et seraient lourdement armés Posted: 08 Jan 2015 02:37 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Figaro.fr - Alerte Info Posted: 08 Jan 2015 02:35 AM PST | | Traque après l'attentat Posted: 08 Jan 2015 02:18 AM PST  | | Si vous ne souhaitez plus recevoir d'emails de la part du Parisien.fr, vous pouvez vous désabonner. |  |   | | Share the View: The Attack on Charlie Hebdo Posted: 08 Jan 2015 02:02 AM PST | | Share The View | | The Latest Opinions From Bloomberg View | | | Paris Attack The Editors: The killing of several journalists at Charlie Hebdo and two police officers in Paris yesterday "cannot and should not be used to stoke hatred and prejudice against Muslims, or intolerance and fear about immigrants and immigration." Of the three suspects French authorities were reported to have identified late yesterday, "two were French (the third's nationality was not immediately clear). So even if France, whose population is about 7.5 percent Muslim (4 to 5 million people), were to block all immigration overnight, such an attack would be no more or less likely than it is now." Read more... Josh Rogin: "Two months ago, a group of French members of Islamic State put out a video calling on Muslims to conduct terror attacks on French soil and offering them direct operational support. ... Their calls were answered." Read more... Leonid Bershidsky: "Michel Houellebecq couldn't have foreseen such a horribly swift real-life sequel to his latest literary provocation, the novel 'Submission.'" Read more... Noah Feldman: "If indeed the Paris attack is the work of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, the franchise that includes Yemen, then its purpose is almost certainly to regain public attention from Islamic State and remind the world, Muslims and non-Muslims alike, that the old jihadi terrorist paradigm is still effective." Read more... China Jim O'Neill: "Halfway through a decade in which China set out to rebalance its economy, it is poised to drastically enlarge its role in the world. Let me explain why." Read more... William Pesek: "For Hong Kong's student protesters, 2015 is off to a dismal start. They'd hoped that months-long demonstrations would lead to greater openness and dialogue with the city's pro-China government. Now that he's cleared the streets, though, Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying seems to have lost interest in talking." Read more... Tech Katie Benner: "There have been a lot of musings of late about whether or not Marissa Mayer is the right chief executive for Yahoo. ... Pick Mayer apart or build her up. Either way, the Yahoo tanker would be hard for anyone to turn around." Read more... Economics Megan McArdle: What makes rich people think they're middle class? Read more... Politics Ramesh Ponnuru: "Some evangelical Christian conservatives are trying to get their brethren to unite behind one Republican primary candidate in the 2016 presidential race. They're likely to fail -- and they'll probably be better off if they do." Read more... Margaret Carlson: "Everything you need to know about the state of the Republican presidential race is explained by the schedules of the first two candidates to publicly dip their toes into the 2016 waters." Read more... Jonathan Bernstein: The decision by the House leadership to kick two Florida congressmen off the Rules Committee is being called "revenge" and "retribution." "But the decision to remove the two is more about assuring Republican Party control of the House than it is about punishing renegades." Read more... Bernstein: "Here's some good news: Barack Obama's approval ratings are heading up again. ... It's good news for the political system." Read more... Cars Edward Niedermeyer: The most important car show is now CES. "Rather than trying to impress the auto industry with new automotive concepts, automakers are trying to make themselves relevant to the broader technology business." Read more... McArdle: "I'm running into more and more people here in Washington who are using UberX as a substitute for owning a car. ... If it works, this is going to be a game changer for urban dwellers, a taste of the utopian future when self-driving cars finally arrive. But to be honest, I find myself wondering if it is going to work." Read more... | | | | For more information, email view@bloomberg.net. | | For media inquiries, contact Farrell Sklerov at +1-212-843-8289 or fsklerov@rubenstein.com. | | | |  | | Fusillade au sud de Paris: la policière blessée est morte Posted: 08 Jan 2015 01:57 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Figaro.fr - Alerte Info Posted: 08 Jan 2015 01:53 AM PST | | Fusillade à Montrouge Posted: 08 Jan 2015 01:50 AM PST  | | Si vous ne souhaitez plus recevoir d'emails de la part du Parisien.fr, vous pouvez vous désabonner. |  |   | | Le point sport Posted: 08 Jan 2015 01:45 AM PST | | Charlie Hebdo: rassemblement d'hommage à Paris dimanche, le point sur les mobilisations ailleurs en France Posted: 08 Jan 2015 01:45 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   |
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