| HUFFPOLLSTER: American Worries About Terrorism Remain Largely Unchanged Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:35 AM PST  HUFFPOLLSTER American Worries About Terrorism Remain Largely Unchanged  Gabriella Demczuk via Getty Images By Mark Blumenthal & Ariel Edwards-Levy
The attacks in Paris reinforce Americans' existing attitudes about terrorism. Even Americans who don't favor mocking religion support the right to do it. And cable news may affect vote choice most among those who don't vote. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, January 13, 2015.
LITTLE CHANGE IN TERROR WORRIES - Pew Research: "In the aftermath of deadly terrorist attacks in Paris — and months after the start of U.S. airstrikes against ISIS — there has been little change in the public’s worries about an imminent terrorist attack in the United States. One-in-four (25%) are very worried about a domestic terrorist attack happening 'soon,' while about four-in-ten (39%) are somewhat worried; 36% are not too worried or not at all worried. That balance of opinion has not significantly changed since last July. The long-term trend on terrorism concerns has been fairly stable, except on a few occasions, since the fall of 2001….The new national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted Jan. 7-11 among 1,504 adults, finds that about half of the public (49%) is more concerned that the government’s anti-terrorism policies haven’t gone far enough to protect the country, while 37% are more concerned that these policies have gone too far in restricting civil liberties. This is little changed since September – amid growing concern over the threat from ISIS – but dramatically different from attitudes in 2013, following Edward Snowden’s disclosures about NSA surveillance." [Pew]
Past terrorist incidents watched more closely - Bruce Drake: "About three-in-ten Americans (29%) say they had followed the news from Paris very closely, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. The previous terrorist attacks that had drawn the highest shares of American news interest resulted in significant numbers of casualties. One was the 2005 bombings of three trains and a bus in London that killed 52 people and injured more than 700. The second was the 2004 assault of Chechen rebels on a Russian school that resulted in more than 300 deaths, about half of them children. In both cases, 48% of Americans said they had followed those stories very closely." [Pew]
AMERICANS SUPPORT THE RIGHT TO MOCK RELIGION - HuffPollster: "In the survey, 63 percent of Americans, including virtually identical percentages of Republicans and Democrats, said it's more important to protect free speech than to shield the dignity of religious beliefs….That vast support for the right to publish, or republish, objectionable content does not translate into widespread comfort with the idea of mocking religion. Though 65 percent said cartoons mocking religious figures are acceptable, just 22 percent called them completely acceptable, while 43 percent said they were acceptable but in poor taste. Most Americans think media outlets should publish content satirizing political parties or other countries, but they're about evenly split on whether race and religion should receive similar treatment. Which religion is being mocked matters. Americans said by a 2-point margin that ridiculing Christianity is unacceptable, but found ridiculing Islam acceptable by a 10-point margin." [HuffPost]
CABLE NEWS: AN EFFECT, BUT AMONG NOT-VOTERS? - Natalie Jackson: "A recent Washington Post article indicated that if the Fox News Channel had not existed, then-Vice President Al Gore would have gotten 1.3 percent more of the national presidential vote in 2000, and the publication implied that this could have changed the election's outcome….If you're shocked that a media organization could change election outcomes, relax -- a closer look at what we know about voting behavior reveals it isn't very likely….When the analysis is restricted to only registered voters, Fox News increased the Republican vote share by 0.9 percentage points. But there are still 10-15 percent of registered voters who do not vote. Survey research can tell us quite a bit about these people who don't vote. They are the same people as those who are likely to be swayed by accidentally watching a cable news network for a few minutes: those without strong attachments to party, ideology, or candidates, and those who are generally disinterested in or disenchanted with politics. It's likely most of the people in that 0.9 percent whose preferences were affected by Fox News did not actually vote." [HuffPost]
AMERICANS MORE POSITIVE ABOUT JOBS - Frank Newport: "Serving as another indication of the public's perceptions of an improving economy, 45% of Americans now say it is a good time to find a quality job, up from 36% in December, and as high as this indicator has been since May 2007...These more upbeat perceptions about quality jobs accompany several other Gallup measures that indicate an improved U.S. jobs situation. Gallup's unadjusted unemployment rate for December was down to 5.8% -- the lowest in its five-year history -- and similar to the 5.6% reported by the government's Bureau of Labor Statistics, which was the lowest since the early months of the recession. Gallup's Job Creation Index -- a measure of workers' perceptions of hiring trends where they work -- has been at its highest post-recession levels in the latter part of 2014." [Gallup]
CHECKING IN ON 2016 - Mitt Romney, who took steps this week to launch another possible bid for the presidency, has the lead in GOP primary polling, thanks in large part to his still-near universal name recognition and an extremely high favorability rating among Republicans. The six polls taken between last October and December that included his name found him taking between 19 and 21 percent, with other candidates hovering at 10 percent and lower. In polls where Romney wasn't included, Jeb Bush emerged as one of the strongest candidates, taking 23 percent in a December CNN poll. Another much-discussed candidate, Paul Ryan, who announced that he isn't considering a run, has been faring less well in the polls, with a near 10 percent average gradually falling to closer to five. (Yes, it's
far too early for presidential polling to predict the eventual nominee -- but it does show that Romney starts off with a significant core of support.) [Pollster chart]
TUESDAY'S 'OUTLIERS' - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data:
-The average favorable rating of the two political parties remains at record low levels. [Gallup]
-Nate Cohn sees Mitt Romney complicating Jeb Bush's nomination path, and possibly helping Rand Paul. [NYT]
-Nate Silver places Romney in the establishment circle of the GOP's "five ring circus." [538]
-Democrats are unlikely to regain the House in 2016, says Stu Rothenberg, but their odds are better than they were last year. [Roll Call]
-Michelle Ye Hee Lee highlights some red flags to "fishy polling" on carbon taxes. [WashPost]
-YouGov's Peter Kellner advises British politicians to "stand up for their convictions...in the face of unwelcome polls." [YouGov via Opinion Today]
-Andrew Gelman explains when "statistically significant but not practically significant" can mislead. [AndrewGelman.com]
-The Brookings Primary Project shares the dataset it collected on the 2014 primary elections. [Brookings]
-Nathan Gonzales will take the helm of the Rothenberg Political Report as editor and publisher. [Roll Call]
-Scott Rasmussen launches his new venture (and it's not about polling). [Styrk]
-Here is a map of every goat in the United States. [WashPost] Read the whole story  | 770 Broadway, New York, NY 10003 | | |   | Figaro.fr - Alerte Info Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:34 AM PST | | Catastrophe de l'usine AZF: un nouveau procès aura lieu Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:29 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Cheat Sheet - Paris’s Muslim Suburbs Blame Jews for Charlie Hebdo Massacre Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:21 AM PST | | Read This, Skip That .... |  |   | |  |  |
January 13, 2015 | | J'ACCUSE While France mourns last week's attacks, conspiracy theorists and anti-Semites have found a way to blame the bloodshed on the Jewish community. In the suburbs of Paris, "magical Jews" are believed to be responsible, reports Dana Kennedy. "It was a conspiracy designed by the Jews to make Muslims look bad," said one man. Buckeye Nation Ohio State breezed past Oregon in the second half to win the inaugural national title in college football's playoff era Monday night at the home of the Dallas Cowboys. The Buckeyes beat the Ducks 42-20 with help from OSU running back Ezekiel Elliott, who rushed for 246 yards and four touchdowns on 36 carries. The win is the fifth national championship for the Buckeyes but the first title for Coach Urban Meyer in his three seasons at Ohio State. (Meyer has won two other titles with Florida, in 2006 and 2008.) Following the win, police used tear gas on Ohio State's campus to break up revelers celebrating at the football stadium. Authorities said 30 to 40 fires were lit in trash cans and dumpsters. Schooled The high-school equivalency exam has been privatized, made four times more expensive, and so hard to pass that even an Ivy League graduate failed it. Matt Collette took the new GED and finds it's no mystery why only 86,500 passed last year vs. 540,000 in 2013. STUCK For parents of children with mental illness, calling police for help when a kid becomes violent or agitated can devolve into a nightmare, reports Brandy Zadrozny. But that leaves parents with few solutions in a dire scenario that can turn lethal. MESSY DEBUT Fashion Police returned last night, with high expectations as Kathy Griffin assumed the Joan Rivers's vacant chair. The problem is she didn't actually host the show. Even more glaringly, she just wasn't very funny, writes Tim Teeman. | | 
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 | | Journal Electronique - mardi 13 janvier 2015 Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:19 AM PST | | Egypte: l'autorité musulmane dénonce la nouvelle caricature de Mahomet dans "Charlie Hebdo" Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:16 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien   | | Newsletter de la mi-journée - LePoint.fr Posted: 13 Jan 2015 05:09 AM PST | Pour être sûr(e) de recevoir nos newsletters, vous pouvez ajouter l'adresse contact@infos-lepoint.fr à votre carnet d'adresses. | | Si cet email ne s'affiche pas correctement, vous pouvez le visualiser grâce à ce lien. |
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| | | |  | |  | | Tuesday's Morning Email: Charlie Hebdo to Release First Edition After Attack Posted: 13 Jan 2015 04:51 AM PST  Tuesday January 13th, 2015  TOP STORIES FRANCE LOCKS DOWN "Confronting a country in shock from last week's terrorist attacks, the French government acted on Monday to increase security, sending thousands of soldiers and police officers to guard sites considered vulnerable, including Jewish schools, and calling for measures to reinforce electronic surveillance and curb jihadist recruitment in prisons and other crucibles of radicalization." The funerals for the supermarket victims began in Jerusalem. And amidst the turmoil, many French Jews are considering moving to Israel. [ NYT] CHARLIE HEBDO TO PRINT 3 MILLION COPIES Of its first edition since the attack, which features the Prophet Muhammad on the cover. The publication usually prints 60,000 copies. [ Bloombert] CENTCOM'S TWITTER ACCOUNT HACKED, ISIS CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY The hackers tweeted: "ISIS is already here, we are in your PCs, in each military base. With Allah's permission we are in CENTCOM now." Security experts believe this is the "transformation of a low strategic target into a high value target." [ HuffPost] ONE DEAD, 83 INJURED IN DC METRO SMOKE INCIDENT "A woman riding on a Metro train died Monday and 83 other passengers were taken to hospitals, at least two in critical condition, after the train abruptly stopped, went dark and filled with smoke in a tunnel in downtown Washington, authorities said … Several riders said as much as an hour went by before firefighters arrived and led them out of the cars, escorting them back to the station. In the meantime, while the passengers waited in the smoke-filled cars, many were choking and some lost consciousness, witnesses said." [ WaPo] SENATE MOVES ON KEYSTONE BILL Despite President Obama's assurances he would veto it. [ HuffPost] SOUTH DAKOTA'S GAY MARRIAGE BAN RULED UNCONSTITUTIONAL "A federal judge in South Dakota on Monday struck down the state's ban on same-sex marriage as supporters and opponents of gay nuptials wait to see if the Supreme Court will settle the issue nationwide. U.S. District Court Judge Karen E. Schreier said the state prohibition denied gay couples the right to due process and equal protection as guaranteed by the Constitution -- often cited by many of the federal judges throwing out same-sex marriage bans." [ NBC] HEROIN DEATHS JUMPED 39% In 2013, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. [ HuffPost] WHAT'S BREWING OHIO STATE WINS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP All the cool Nike gear in the world couldn't stop the Oregon Ducks' collapse, as OSU's win puts Urban Meyer among the coaching greats. [ ESPN] ALL THE AVENGERS ARE BEATING EACH OTHER UP IN THE LATEST TRAILER Aren't they all supposed to be on the same team? [ HuffPost] KELLY CLARKSON GOES BACK TO HER POP ROOTS "Heartbeat Song" might be the new "Since You've Been Gone." [ HuffPost] 'SUPERGIRL' IS MAKING A CBS COMEBACK Who will be the female Tom Welling? [ People] THE REVIEWS OF THE 'FIFTY SHADES OF GREY' WINE ARE IN "This wine tastes like pain. I'd rather be flogged than have to drink this again." [ Vanity Fair] WHAT'S IN YOUR PUFF VEST? Do you know what live-plucking is? [ Outside Online] QUITTING THAT ANNOYING HABIT "Yes, the habit or action itself is important. But people often overlook just how critical it is to establish an environment that makes desirable behaviors easy and undesirable behaviors hard to do. If, for example, you're trying to break the habit of eating sugary dessert every night, you don't win an extra prize if there's ice cream in your freezer and you manage to not eat it for several nights in a row." [ HuffPost] ON THE BLOG DAVID WOOD: HOW TO WIN A WAR "Which should remind us to pay more attention to what's happening just off the battlefield, where in the kinds of wars the U.S. now faces, the less glamorous job of building security capacity is critical. Recall that 'winning' doesn't mean a continuous stream of air strikes, but building outposts of stability across the tortured landscapes of North Africa, the Middle East and South Asia." [ HuffPost] BEFORE YOU GO ~ All those private Instagram photos? Turns out they're not totally private. ~ Don't worry, guys: the American version of Cadbury eggs aren't changing. ~ Agent Cooper is returning to "Twin Peaks." ~ You'll finally meet the real Stephen Colbert on September 8 when the "Late Show With Stephen Colbert" debuts. ~ Top chefs' favorite fast food burgers. ~ Meet an adorable flower girl and ring bearer who got married 20 years later. ~ Behind the wild and crazy booze-filled Golden Globes after parties. ~ That time Reggie Love had a woman in bed and Barack Obama barged into the room. ~ Say goodbye to your BBC favorites on Netflix. ~ And Facebook will now feature Amber alerts on your newsfeed.  Follow HuffPost on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and Pinterest     Get Huffington Post on the Go   | | Enfin une phablette pour tous ! Posted: 13 Jan 2015 04:30 AM PST | Si ce message ne s'affiche pas correctement, cliquez ici. | |  | L'actualité digitale ne s'arrête jamais,
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|   | | La 13h Posted: 13 Jan 2015 03:22 AM PST | | A la Une : VIDEO House of Cards : la bande-annonce haletante de la saison 3 | VIDEO L'actrice Anita Ekberg est morte | Diam's : "Je suis française, musulmane et affligée" Posted: 13 Jan 2015 03:07 AM PST | | Global Tech: Military's Twitter Account Hacked, Apple Changes App Pricing, Behind the Giant Credit Card Hack Posted: 13 Jan 2015 03:01 AM PST  | | Please add Global_tech_today@email.bloomberg.com to your address book. | | | | | | | | | U.S. Military Says Twitter Hacking Amounts to Prank, Not Threat By Roxana Tiron, David Lerman and Chris Strohm The Twitter and YouTube accounts of the U.S. Central Command were compromised with messages supporting Islamic State, in a hacking attack the Pentagon dismissed as a prank. The attack was confirmed by Central Command, which oversees U.S. military operations in the Middle East including the fight against Islamic State extremists. Both accounts were suspended Monday after about 30 minutes, according to a statement, and the command's own website wasn't affected. | |
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