| HUFFPOLLSTER: With Economy Improving, President Obama Gets A Holiday Ratings Boost Posted: 24 Dec 2014 06:19 AM PST  HUFFPOLLSTER With Economy Improving, President Obama Gets A Holiday Ratings Boost  Leigh Vogel via Getty Images By Mark Blumenthal & Ariel Edwards-Levy
Americans give President Obama a ratings boost for the holidays -- and we're giving all the Christmas polling you could want. This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, December 24, 2014.
END OF YEAR BUMP IN VIEWS OF ECONOMY, OBAMA - Kevin Liptak: "Improving views of the economy have helped hike President Barack Obama's approval rating to a 20-month high, a new CNN/ORC poll showed Tuesday, as markets climbed to record levels at news of an economy in overdrive. More Americans still disapprove of the job Obama is doing as President. But at 48%, Obama's approval rating is at its highest point in CNN polling since May 2013. The gains were driven by newfound backing among women, independents and millennials — groups where Obama's approval numbers jumped 10 percentage points from a month ago….Tuesday's CNN/ORC poll showed for the first time in seven years, a majority of Americans — 51% — have a positive view of the economy, a sharp increase from the 38% who felt that way in October. The jump was present in every demographic group — men, women, whites, non-whites, urban, rural — and was largest among Americans who earn less than $50,000 annually." [CNN, full results]
Not just CNN - Monthly averages of the Rasmussen Reports and Economist/YouGov tracking polls also show increases of TK from October to December. The weekly average that Gallup publishes jumped from 43 percent for the first two weeks of December to 45 percent for the week of December 15-21, Obama's best score on that measure since May. [Gallup]
The default trendline of the HuffPost Pollster chart for Obama's approval rating, which can sometimes be slow to reflect movement, does not yet show improvement. However, the "less smoothing" version shows an uptick from a low of 42.0 percent in late October to 44.5 percent as of this writing. [Obama approval chart default view and with less smoothing]
Obama's ratings should improve with strengthening economy...slowly - Brendan Nyhan: "The lesson of history is that Mr. Obama will get credit if growth continues, but we should not be surprised if public opinion lags objective measures of the economy. The political scientists Peter Enns and Gregory McAvoy write, for instance: 'For the most part, public opinion does not react instantaneously to changes in economic information. It takes time for economic news to make its way from government reports into news reports so that ordinary citizens can absorb and respond to this information.' [NYT]
A LOOK AT THE POLLING ON OPINIONS OF POLLS - Kathleen Weldon: "Pundits have few kind words for politicians who consult public opinion polls when formulating policy. On the other hand, pollsters themselves consider polls no less than the voice of the people. But where does the public stand? A review of polls about polling, from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research archive: The first poll about polling, by the Office of Public Opinion Research, was conducted in 1944. Among the 57 percent who had heard of a 'public opinion poll,' 75 percent thought they were a good thing for the country. Just 2 percent thought they were bad, and 21 percent had no opinion. This pattern of response remained fairly stable over many decades….Despite this positive overall appraisal of the role of public opinion surveys, the public remains shows significant skepticism toward polling….Whether the public has faith in polling results or not, one thing is clear: they don't understand how polling works….When asked in a 2005 Gallup poll if a random sample of 1,000 US adults accurately reflected the views of the nation's population, just 30% thought it did; 68% believed it did not. And a 2001 Kaiser Family Foundation poll asked how important the difference was between a poll of randomly-selected telephone numbers and a poll of people who called an 800 number advertised on TV. Only 37% considered this difference in methodology to be very important and 31% somewhat important." [HuffPost]
HOW THE GRINCH POLLED CHRISTMAS THIS YEAR:
-Pollsters weigh in on Santa's partisanship. [WashPost]
-77 percent of Americans plan to exchange gifts this holiday season and 48 percent will send greeting cards. [AP]
-The Upshot checks in on what gifts people are searching for. [NYT]
-49 percent of Americans agree stores and businesses should greet their customers with “happy holidays” or “season’s greetings” instead of “merry Christmas” out of respect for people of different faiths; 43 percent disagree. [PRRI]
-PRRI checks in on the War on Christmas. [PRRI]
-Pew Research looks back at how holiday celebrations have changed. [Pew]
-Heather Krause finds Americans love the holidays, even though they spend them doing things they hate. [538]
-Greg Rosalsky takes a deep dive into evidence Santa's elves are slaves. [Pacific Standard]
-Most Americans say holiday gifts for children's teachers are nice but not necessary. [HuffPost]
-Most Americans believe the Christmas story is historically accurate. Pew]
-The Marist Poll's staff deliver a survey-inspired take on Jingle Bells. [Marist]
-Half of Americans say they'll leave cookies for Santa. [Vox Populi (R)]
-Christmas won the war on Christmas. [WashPost
-Holiday lights are so bright you can see them from space. [Flowing Data]
HuffPollster will be taking a brief break for the holidays. We'll see you again on Monday, January 5. Merry Christmas and a happy New Year!
WEDNESDAY'S 'OUTLIERS' - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data:
-Most Americans say the developed world has a duty to help poorer countries deal with climate change. [YouGov]
-Gov. Andrew Cuomo tops Mayor Bill de Blasio among New York State voters as the "more influential Democrat." [Quinnipiac]
-Harry Enten dismisses Ben Carson's chances, except in Iowa...maybe. [538]
-John McLaughlin (R) will poll for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's 2015 campaign. [Jerusalem Post] Read the whole story  | 770 Broadway, New York, NY 10003 | | |   | Northline Train 1705 cancelled due to mechanical issues Posted: 24 Dec 2014 06:07 AM PST | | A la Une : Cours sans te retourner, la critique de Studio Ciné Live | César et Rosalie, une scène culte décryptée | Zouzou, la critique de Studio Ciné Live Posted: 24 Dec 2014 06:05 AM PST Si vous avez des difficultés pour visualiser ce message, suivez ce lien |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  VIDEO. Lolita Chammah n'est "pas sûre d'avoir envie de grandir" Après Copacabana et Memory Lane, l'actrice Lolita Chammah illumine Gaby Baby Doll, une comédie romantique de Sophie Letourneur, au côté de Benjamin Biolay. Interview Loto. Commenter
| | | | | | | | | |  VIDEO. François Damiens: "La famille Bélier fait de l'humour belge sans le vouloir" François Damiens n'aime pas, a priori, parler. Il est pourtant bavard. Au programme, La famille Bélier, d'Éric Lartigau, qui s'annonce comme un gros succès, la voile, la belgitude et les embrouilles. Interview. Commenter | | | | >> + de rencontres cinéma | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | L'Express - 29 rue de Châteaudun 75308 Paris Cedex 9 - Tél. : 01 75 55 10 00
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Si vous souhaitez modifier vos données personnelles, cliquez ici. | | | | | | | | |     | | LIVE: Rick Santorum, Rabia Chaudry Of The 'Serial' Podcast, and How Jews Celebrate Xmas Posted: 24 Dec 2014 06:02 AM PST | | These prehistoric mammals were pretty monstrous Posted: 24 Dec 2014 05:57 AM PST HUFFPOST ALERT WATCH: 5 Monstrous Prehistoric Mammals  Getty Video There's no doubt bunnies, piglets, and even squirrels are cute and cuddly -- but it turns out that some of their prehistoric ancestors and relatives were quite the opposite.
In fact, some ancient mammals were extreme in terms of size, ferocity, and even their locomotion. You would not want to run into them...
Check this new "Talk Nerdy To Me" episode for just a small sampling of the now-extinct mammals that once roamed the Earth. Read the whole story Follow HuffPost Science on Facebook and Twitter 770 Broadway, New York, NY 10003 | | |   | Cheat Sheet - What Made the Cop-Killer Snap? Posted: 24 Dec 2014 05:52 AM PST | | Read This, Skip That .... |  |   | |  |  |
December 24, 2014 | | TRAGEDY More details are coming out about Ismaaiyl Brinsley before he allegedly murdered two NYPD cops in broad daylight. M.L Nestel reports on how Brinsley was working on a script about the senseless shootings of his friends. He had failed at numerous projects already, having tried being a party promoter, a sound engineer, and launching a clothing line. EMPTY WORDS These are crazy times, and while French President Francois Hollande is telling French people not to lump three attacks in three days together, it's hard not to see them as terrorist-inspired chaos. Christopher Dickey reports on the three "crazy wolves" spreading terror across France. NOT AGAIN A black teenager was shot and killed by a Berkeley, Missouri, police officer on Tuesday afternoon, just a few miles from Ferguson, where Michael Brown was killed. According to police, the teenager pulled and pointed a gun at the officer. While police did not identify the individual, a woman at the scene identified him as her 18-year-old son Antonio Martin. Martin was at a gas station with his girlfriend. Authorities said that an officer "conducting a routine business check" got out of his vehicle and approached them, at which point the teen pulled out a handgun. "Fearing for his life, the Berkeley officer fired several shots, striking the subject, fatally wounding him," a release from the Berkeley police said. The girlfriend reportedly fled the scene.
AILING Former President George H.W. Bush was taken to Houston's Methodist Hospital by ambulance on Tuesday evening after experiencing shortness of breath. The Bush patriarch, who is 90 and wheelchair-bound, will be held for observation "as a precaution," according to a statement from his office. PRICE YOU PAY The former Navy SEAL who ignited a controversy by publicly claiming credit for killing Osama bin Laden is now under investigation for possibly leaking official secrets. Shane Harris reports that NCIS is investigating Rob O'Neill, who has also been accused of misstating key facts and wrongly taking credit for killing the world's then-most-wanted man. | | 
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Le télé-crochet phare de TF1 reviendra à l'antenne le 10 janvier prochain pour une quatrième saison. Afin de booster les audiences, la chaîne, qui compte beaucoup sur ce programme, a d'ores et déjà annoncé plusieurs nouveautés.  1 commentaire | | | |  | | | |  | | VIDEOS. Jacques Chancel, grande voix de la radio, est mort
Ancien patron d'Antenne 2, le journaliste et écrivain âgé de 86 ans, notamment connu pour son émission Radioscopie sur France Inter, est mort dans la nuit de lundi à mardi à Paris, selon plusieurs médias. 14 commentaires | | | | | | >> | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | L'Express - 29 rue de Châteaudun 75308 Paris Cedex 9 - Tél. : 01 75 55 10 00
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